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Re: League Table Predictions
Innings (IP Logged)
29 August, 2018 19:24
Bath, Bristol, Exeter, Gloucester, Harlequins, Leicester, Newcastle, Northampton, Sale, Saracens, Wasps, Worcester

5 11 2 9 10 6 4 8 7 3 1 12

Wasps beat Exeter in final



Innings

Points win matches: tries win hearts and minds.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
30 August, 2018 12:01
Entries are now closed, no further changes – clearly only TT was swayed by Rugby Tonight's backing of Gloucester.

24 of the 28 entrants have gone for Sarries to win the final – all bar the admirable loyalty of tigerburnie (L bt E), our own The Bard (E bt Wa), Innings (Wa bt E), and the inimitable Tony Taff (Wa bt Sr). Great if we do win, but perhaps not good for the competition if we really are such strong favourites (which I don't believe to be the case).

For losing finalist we have:

13 – Exeter (including once to Tigers and once to Wasps) [+1 Win]
9 – Wasps (including once to Exeter) [+2 Wins}
4 – Leicester {+1 Win]
1 – Gloucester
1 - Saracens (to Wasps)

“Old Codger” is a pseudonym, but for whom/what? A little lateral thinking may reveal the old boy's identity. A special prize of 50% off the entrance fee awaits the first to reveal it.

Based on the averages of our rankings, the final league table will be:

1.93 Exeter
2.00 Saracens
2.64 Wasps
4.54 Leicester

5.75 Gloucester
6.46 Bath
6.71 Newcastle
7.14 Sale

8.86 Northampton
9.43 Harlequins
11.00 Bristol
11.54 Worcester



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 30/08/2018 12:03 by Sara'sman.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
31 August, 2018 19:00
I've checked my input of your entries (and found 4 mistakes) so please also check your entry (below) and PM me if I've still made an error. I'll try to post updates after each round on Sunday/Monday.

Ba	Br	E	G	H	L	Ne	No	Sal	Sar	Wa	Wo	
3	11	1	5	10	6	9	8	7	4	2	12	Sara'sman
6	11	1	5	7	4	8	9	10	3	2	12	Waldo
6	11	2	4	10	7	8	9	5	1	3	12	Bath Hammer
6	11	2	9	10	3	5	8	7	1	4	12	maynas
5	10	1	3	11	7	8	9	6	2	4	12	vunipolae
5	11	3	6	10	4	7	9	8	2	1	12	whyisitnevereasy
5	11	2	7	10	4	8	9	6	1	3	12	BathMatt53
10	11	3	4	9	5	6	8	7	2	1	12	Barty II
6	12	2	10	11	4	5	8	7	1	3	9	tigerburnie
7	11	1	9	5	4	6	10	8	2	3	12	Roger G
9	8	2	4	11	6	5	10	7	1	3	12	Gryff
8	11	4	9	6	3	7	10	5	1	2	12	Sully08
8	11	1	3	10	4	6	9	7	2	5	12	Maroon Tyke
4	12	1	5	7	6	9	10	8	2	3	11	JO'G
5	11	3	7	8	2	6	9	10	1	4	12	duchessmalfi
7	12	2	5	11	3	9	8	6	1	4	10	Duncan Keene
9	11	2	8	10	5	4	7	6	3	1	12	Tony Taff
8	12	2	4	11	5	7	9	6	3	1	10	RobP74
6	12	2	4	11	7	8	10	5	3	1	9	OverTheBorder
7	9	1	3	12	5	6	10	8	2	4	11	robtheh
7	11	2	8	10	3	5	9	6	1	4	12	derbyshire fan
7	11	2	4	10	5	6	8	9	1	3	12	4everhopePhil
5	11	2	3	7	6	10	8	9	4	1	12	The Bard
5	12	1	7	9	2	6	10	8	3	4	11	Darraghgirl
10	11	1	4	9	5	8	7	6	2	3	12	OhMaroItoje
6	11	4	5	10	2	7	9	8	3	1	12	AP
6	11	2	7	9	4	5	10	8	1	3	12	Squarker2
5	11	2	9	10	6	4	8	7	3	1	12	Innings
6	11	2	5	9	4	7	8	10	1	3	12	Odds Checker
6	11	1	5	10	4	7	9	8	2	3	12	Our Average

I've made two additions to our entries:

Our Average represents the teams ordered by the average of our placings and
Odds Checker (aka “Old Codger”) the order in which the bookies rated each team's chance of finishing top on 19th August.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
derbyshire fan (IP Logged)
31 August, 2018 19:43
Thanks for all that hard work; fun trying to look at the names next to each row on my tablet when they keep getting covered up with adverts!

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
31 August, 2018 20:48
Another (half time Bvcool smiley way of representing the above:

Ba	Br	E	G	H	L	Ne	No	Sal	Sar	Wa	Wo
3	8	1	3	5	2	4	7	5	1	1	9
4	9	1	3	6	2	4	7	5	1	1	9
5	10	1	3	7	2	5	8	5	1	1	10
5	11	1	3	7	3	5	8	6	1	1	10
5	11	1	4	7	3	5	8	6	1	1	11
5	11	1	4	8	3	5	8	6	1	1	11
5	11	1	4	9	3	5	8	6	1	1	11
5	11	1	4	9	4	6	8	6	1	1	12
5	11	1	4	9	4	6	8	6	1	2	12
6	11	1	4	9	4	6	8	6	1	2	12
6	11	2	4	9	4	6	8	7	1	2	12
6	11	2	5	10	4	6	9	7	1	3	12
6	11	2	5	10	4	6	9	7	2	3	12
6	11	2	5	10	4	6	9	7	2	3	12
6	11	2	5	10	4	7	9	7	2	3	12
6	11	2	5	10	4	7	9	7	2	3	12
6	11	2	5	10	5	7	9	7	2	3	12
6	11	2	5	10	5	7	9	8	2	3	12
7	11	2	6	10	5	7	9	8	2	3	12
7	11	2	7	10	5	7	9	8	2	3	12
7	11	2	7	10	5	8	9	8	2	3	12
7	11	2	7	10	5	8	9	8	3	3	12
7	11	2	7	10	6	8	10	8	3	4	12
8	11	2	8	11	6	8	10	8	3	4	12
8	12	2	8	11	6	8	10	8	3	4	12
8	12	3	9	11	6	8	10	9	3	4	12
9	12	3	9	11	6	9	10	9	3	4	12
9	12	3	9	11	7	9	10	10	3	4	12
10	12	4	9	11	7	9	10	10	4	4	12
10	12	4	10	12	7	10	10	10	4	5	12


 
Re: League Table Predictions
AP (IP Logged)
31 August, 2018 22:00
That's an interesting way of representing the predictions!



Successful hills are here to stay
Everything must be this way
Gentle streets where people play
Welcome to the Soft Parade

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
01 September, 2018 20:37
With only our game to go in R1, The Bard leading at 0.287, last is -0.280. Early days! Once the table settles a little (R6?) I'm expecting the bulk of the coefficients to be in the range 0.5 to 0.95.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
02 September, 2018 20:13
Round 1

Congratulations to JO'G - quickest out of the blocks. Tigers are costing us all dearly (where have I heard that before?) but none more so than tigerburnie whose faith has cost him 0.423 directly, probably 0.5 in total.

0.434	JO'G
0.413	The Bard
0.392	Waldo
0.343	Roger G
0.308	vunipolae
0.308	Gryff
0.294	Odds Checker
0.280	robtheh
0.280	4everhopePhil
0.280	Bath Hammer
0.273	OhMaroItoje
0.238	Maroon Tyke
0.238	Our Average
0.224	Barty II
0.217	Sara'sman
0.210	Squawker2
0.210	OverTheBorder
0.168	duchessmalfi
0.147	RobP74
0.140	whyisitnevereasy
0.133	BathMatt53
0.119	Sully08
0.112	Darraghgirl
0.091	Duncan Keene
0.070	Innings
0.042	derbyshire fan
0.035	Tony Taff
0.028	AP
0.021	maynas
-0.007	tigerburnie


 
Re: League Table Predictions
derbyshire fan (IP Logged)
02 September, 2018 20:26
well at least I have a positive score!

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Bath Hammer (IP Logged)
03 September, 2018 08:02
Well done Sara’sman - an interesting exercise. Just a pity more didn’t get involved. It will nevertheless be interesting to see how the season pans out in comparison.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
tigerburnie (IP Logged)
03 September, 2018 16:30
We are just getting warmed up lads don't worry...…………...(Sm100)

 
Re: League Table Predictions
AP (IP Logged)
03 September, 2018 21:00
Quote:
tigerburnie
We are just getting warmed up lads don't worry...…………...(Sm100)

Perhaps we should have had a prediction table for managerial changes ...



Successful hills are here to stay
Everything must be this way
Gentle streets where people play
Welcome to the Soft Parade

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
09 September, 2018 19:20
Round 2

Each club has now played one Home and one Away, with 3 yet to win, 2 winning both. The average of our coefficients is a much healthier 0.571 (up from 0.201) with OhMaroItoje replacing the old boy at the summit.

0.769	OhMaroItoje
0.755	The Bard
0.741	Waldo
0.692	JO'G
0.678	Odds Checker
0.657	Maroon Tyke
0.657	Barty II
0.650	4everhopePhil
0.636	Our Average
0.629	Bath Hammer
0.615	Roger G
0.615	vunipolae
0.615	Duncan Keene
0.580	Gryff
0.573	robtheh
0.559	Sara'sman
0.559	BathMatt53
0.552	RobP74
0.545	duchessmalfi
0.538	Sully08
0.531	whyisitnevereasy
0.524	Squawker2
0.517	AP
0.490	OverTheBorder
0.490	Darraghgirl
0.462	derbyshire fan
0.427	Tony Taff
0.427	maynas
0.322	Innings
0.308	tigerburnie


 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
16 September, 2018 17:01
Round 3

With three sides remaining unbeaten and only one winless, week 3 sees our third leader as Waldo moves up two places, narrowly preventing JO'G from returning to the summit. A shame that other than this pair only the consistent The Bard (who slips from second two weeks running to third) is beating the Bookies.

0.923	Waldo
0.916	JO'G
0.909	The Bard
0.895	Odds Checker
0.867	4everhopePhil
0.853	Our Average
0.825	vunipolae
0.818	Sara'sman
0.804	duchessmalfi
0.804	Maroon Tyke
0.797	Squawker2
0.797	Bath Hammer
0.797	whyisitnevereasy
0.790	robtheh
0.769	Roger G
0.755	Darraghgirl
0.755	BathMatt53
0.755	OhMaroItoje
0.741	Barty II
0.734	AP
0.734	Gryff
0.706	RobP74
0.699	Duncan Keene
0.692	OverTheBorder
0.657	maynas
0.657	derbyshire fan
0.657	Innings
0.601	Sully08
0.587	Tony Taff
0.559	tigerburnie

Average: 0.762

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