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Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
07 January, 2019 10:52
Round 12

No change at either end of our table as JO'G retains his position at the top of the pile for the next 5 weeks. Whilst OhMaroItoje makes a welcome return to the podium positions, an even more pleasing site is the record number of 12 of us ahead of OddsChecker, with OurAverage also above the Bookies.

0.769	JO'G
0.734	OhMaroItoje
0.720	The Bard
0.713	Bath Hammer
0.685	Waldo
0.664	vunipolae
0.664	Roger G
0.643	Maroon Tyke
0.636	Duncan Keene
0.636	Sully08
0.629	BathMatt53
0.622	Our Average
0.608	Sara'sman
0.601	Odds Checker
0.594	Barty II
0.580	4everhopePhil
0.580	OverTheBorder
0.559	RobP74
0.545	Squawker2
0.531	Darraghgirl
0.524	whyisitnevereasy
0.524	Gryff
0.517	robtheh
0.510	duchessmalfi
0.510	derbyshire fan
0.476	AP
0.455	maynas
0.413	Tony Taff
0.364	Innings
0.350	tigerburnie

Average 0.579


Those dastardly Quins have taken over as the team costing us most on average, with our Saintly friends punishing us the least (curiouusly only OMI and TT's predictions are more than one position away from their current place. At the moment the average "points", excluding OddsChecker and OurAverage, that each club is costing us are:

Ba	Br	E	G	H	L	Ne	No	Sal	Sar	Wa	Wo
5.25	1.71	1.57	7.75	44.07	8.25	30.43	0.86	6.43	0.93	12.79	1.11

And individually for those interested:

Ba	Br	E	G	H	L	Ne	No	Sal	Sar	Wa	Wo	
16	4	0	1	16	1	9	1	9	0	9	0	JO'G
4	1	0	0	36	4	16	4	1	0	9	1	OhMaroItoje
9	1	1	1	16	1	4	1	16	4	25	1	The Bard
4	1	1	0	49	0	16	0	0	1	9	1	Bath Hammer
4	1	0	1	16	9	16	0	25	1	16	1	Waldo
9	0	0	1	64	0	16	0	1	0	4	1	vunipolae
1	1	0	25	4	9	36	1	9	0	9	1	Roger G
0	1	0	1	49	9	36	0	4	0	1	1	Maroon Tyke
1	4	1	1	64	16	9	1	1	1	4	1	Duncan Keene
0	1	9	25	9	16	25	1	0	1	16	1	Sully08
9	1	1	9	49	9	16	0	1	1	9	1	BathMatt53
4	1	0	1	49	9	25	0	9	0	9	1	Our Average
25	1	0	1	49	1	9	1	4	4	16	1	Sara'sman
4	1	1	1	36	9	25	1	25	1	9	1	Odds Checker
4	1	4	0	36	4	36	1	4	0	25	1	Barty II
1	1	1	0	49	4	36	1	16	1	9	1	4everhopePhil
4	4	1	0	64	0	16	1	0	1	25	4	OverTheBorder
0	4	1	0	64	4	25	0	1	1	25	1	RobP74
4	1	1	9	36	9	49	1	9	1	9	1	Squawker2
9	4	0	9	36	25	36	1	9	1	4	0	Darraghgirl
9	1	4	4	49	9	25	0	9	0	25	1	whyisitnevereasy
1	4	1	0	64	1	49	1	4	1	9	1	Gryff
1	1	0	1	81	4	36	1	9	0	4	0	robtheh
9	1	4	9	25	25	36	0	25	1	4	1	duchessmalfi
1	1	1	16	49	16	49	0	1	1	4	1	derbyshire fan
4	1	9	1	49	25	25	0	9	1	25	1	AP
4	1	1	25	49	16	49	1	4	1	4	1	maynas
1	1	1	16	49	4	64	4	1	1	25	1	Tony Taff
9	1	1	25	49	1	64	1	4	1	25	1	Innings
4	4	1	36	64	9	49	1	4	1	9	4	tigerburnie


 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
16 February, 2019 17:26
Round 13

Apologies all - egg on face time! Barty's comment below made me check - I'd entered a position wrongly. (Sm18)

0.797	JO'G
0.790	The Bard
0.713	Waldo
0.692	Bath Hammer
0.664	OhMaroItoje
0.657	Odds Checker
0.657	vunipolae
0.650	Sara'sman
0.622	Roger G
0.615	4everhopePhil
0.608	Our Average
0.601	BathMatt53
0.573	Duncan Keene
0.566	Maroon Tyke
0.559	Barty II
0.552	whyisitnevereasy
0.545	OverTheBorder
0.538	Sully08
0.538	duchessmalfi
0.531	Squawker2
0.503	RobP74
0.483	robtheh
0.476	Gryff
0.476	Darraghgirl
0.462	AP
0.434	derbyshire fan
0.427	maynas
0.399	Innings
0.371	Tony Taff
0.343	tigerburnie

Average 0.562



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 18/02/2019 14:47 by Sara'sman.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Barty II (IP Logged)
18 February, 2019 14:15
In hindsight some of my predictions were dreadful, and yet in the top half!

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
18 February, 2019 14:54
Thanks Barty!

Sorry to say it takes me 30 seconds to enter the current League positions into the spreadsheet and update - and I managed to go wrong. Now corrected and wrist slapped.

I've checked a couple manually (Barty's and my own) and they agree with the computer's calculations.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Barty II (IP Logged)
19 February, 2019 08:41
Now THATS more like it (Sm126)

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
24 February, 2019 15:08
Round 14

Our average score is not looking great, as Quins and Newcastle continue to disappoint!

0.727	The Bard
0.720	JO'G
0.657	OhMaroItoje
0.650	Waldo
0.615	Bath Hammer
0.594	Odds Checker
0.587	vunipolae
0.587	Sara'sman
0.559	4everhopePhil
0.552	Roger G
0.545	Our Average
0.545	Duncan Keene
0.531	Maroon Tyke
0.517	BathMatt53
0.510	Barty II
0.483	OverTheBorder
0.462	RobP74
0.455	whyisitnevereasy
0.455	duchessmalfi
0.441	Sully08
0.441	Squawker2
0.420	Darraghgirl
0.413	robtheh
0.385	Gryff
0.371	AP
0.371	derbyshire fan
0.371	maynas
0.343	Tony Taff
0.329	Innings
0.308	tigerburnie

Average 0.498

 
Re: League Table Predictions
TonyTaff (IP Logged)
26 February, 2019 18:54
I trusted Deano to repeat, and remain convinced that Ackermann J. is an idiot, but I didn't realise that he had brought so many Gauteng players with him.

Just as well I didn't put any money on It!



721.05 (*) donated to the Saracens Foundation due to visits to the Sarries frontpage [www.rugbynetwork.net]

Please read and submit articles for publication. (*) As at October 31, 2018.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
03 March, 2019 20:04
Round 15

No change at either end of our table, though a pleasing improvement on the average of our predictions. I've always felt that next weeks table, at the end of the 6 Nations block, should be very close to the final positions. But what do I know!

0.783	The Bard
0.762	JO'G
0.706	Waldo
0.692	OhMaroItoje
0.664	Bath Hammer
0.636	Odds Checker
0.636	vunipolae
0.636	Sara'sman
0.608	Roger G
0.601	4everhopePhil
0.594	Our Average
0.566	Maroon Tyke
0.566	BathMatt53
0.566	Barty II
0.559	Duncan Keene
0.524	OverTheBorder
0.517	whyisitnevereasy
0.503	RobP74
0.503	Sully08
0.497	duchessmalfi
0.497	Squawker2
0.469	robtheh
0.462	Gryff
0.455	Darraghgirl
0.434	AP
0.413	derbyshire fan
0.406	maynas
0.392	Tony Taff
0.385	Innings
0.322	tigerburnie

Average 0.545

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
09 March, 2019 18:41
Round 16

Not only do they beat us on Friday night but one of them has the temerity to assume the silver position! Congratulations Mr Hammer. Also notable is a record number of us ahead of the bookies, including "Our Average". Six rounds to go.

0.657	JO'G
0.615	Bath Hammer
0.601	The Bard
0.601	vunipolae
0.566	OhMaroItoje
0.531	Sara'sman
0.510	Waldo
0.483	Maroon Tyke
0.483	BathMatt53
0.476	Roger G
0.462	Our Average
0.462	Duncan Keene
0.455	Odds Checker
0.441	4everhopePhil
0.434	OverTheBorder
0.399	Sully08
0.385	Barty II
0.378	robtheh
0.371	Squawker2
0.371	Gryff
0.357	RobP74
0.350	whyisitnevereasy
0.336	duchessmalfi
0.336	Darraghgirl
0.329	derbyshire fan
0.301	maynas
0.245	AP
0.245	Innings
0.231	Tony Taff
0.196	tigerburnie

Average 0.420

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
24 March, 2019 16:59
Round 17

Tight at the top!

0.615	JO'G
0.615	The Bard
0.615	OhMaroItoje
0.608	Bath Hammer
0.608	vunipolae
0.524	Sara'sman
0.510	Waldo
0.510	Maroon Tyke
0.483	Duncan Keene
0.483	Odds Checker
0.483	4everhopePhil
0.469	Our Average
0.455	BathMatt53
0.427	Barty II
0.420	OverTheBorder
0.413	Roger G
0.406	robtheh
0.392	Gryff
0.378	RobP74
0.343	Squawker2
0.343	whyisitnevereasy
0.329	Sully08
0.322	duchessmalfi
0.308	derbyshire fan
0.301	Darraghgirl
0.287	maynas
0.252	AP
0.252	Tony Taff
0.224	Innings
0.182	tigerburnie

Average 0.418

 
Re: League Table Predictions
JO'G (IP Logged)
25 March, 2019 13:32
is that on countback

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
25 March, 2019 18:11
In one sense yes, the computer only swaps if a lower entry from the previous week beats a higher one, not if they tie. For the final table, any ties at either end will be manually sorted by the correct prediction for the winner, then the losing finalist, finally earlier time of entry.

Must admit I've been disappointed not to see more movement at each end of the table as teams fortunes change. Quins and Falcons costing us all, loyalty punishing tb. Good to see five so close at the top - shame it's not six!

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
07 April, 2019 17:32
Round 18

sees JO'G making top spot his own again. Meanwhile Maroon Tyke merits a special mention, anyone care to speculate as to why?

0.671	JO'G
0.657	Bath Hammer
0.657	vunipolae
0.629	The Bard
0.601	OhMaroItoje
0.566	Sara'sman
0.531	Maroon Tyke
0.524	Waldo
0.503	BathMatt53
0.503	Duncan Keene
0.497	Our Average
0.483	Odds Checker
0.483	4everhopePhil
0.483	OverTheBorder
0.448	Roger G
0.441	robtheh
0.420	Barty II
0.420	Gryff
0.406	RobP74
0.385	Squawker2
0.378	Sully08
0.378	whyisitnevereasy
0.350	Darraghgirl
0.343	duchessmalfi
0.343	derbyshire fan
0.308	maynas
0.280	AP
0.252	Innings
0.245	Tony Taff
0.203	tigerburnie

Average 0.446

 
Re: League Table Predictions
TonyTaff (IP Logged)
08 April, 2019 09:20
Drat, if only we had rested a few more players and gifted Falcons the W.

Rather like the Peterboro MP, I have no intention of resigning even if I finish bottom, though it's not yet time to panic and sign Mike Ford!



721.05 (*) donated to the Saracens Foundation due to visits to the Sarries frontpage [www.rugbynetwork.net]

Please read and submit articles for publication. (*) As at October 31, 2018.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Maroon Tyke (IP Logged)
13 April, 2019 14:22
Quote:
Sara'sman
Meanwhile Maroon Tyke merits a special mention, anyone care to speculate as to why?

Give us a clue Sara'sman. Even I can't see why!

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Duncan Keene (IP Logged)
13 April, 2019 16:12
I'm going to guess, most teams in the correct position?

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
13 April, 2019 18:38


Quote:
Maroon Tyke
Quote:
Sara'sman
Meanwhile Maroon Tyke merits a special mention, anyone care to speculate as to why?

Give us a clue Sara'sman. Even I can't see why!

The answer may sting!

Duncan - I've no idea whether or not you're correct, but not what I'd spotted. Interesting thought though.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
TonyTaff (IP Logged)
14 April, 2019 14:22
The only person to get W*sps position correct?



721.05 (*) donated to the Saracens Foundation due to visits to the Sarries frontpage [www.rugbynetwork.net]

Please read and submit articles for publication. (*) As at October 31, 2018.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
14 April, 2019 19:49
Very close TT and currently true (though curiously not at the time of your post) but not what I meant. As that unfortunate saying goes, I may have been a little premature. I'd noticed that Maroon, my fellow Tyke, was the only one of us not to have Pests in their top 4 and with Ex away this week I assumed this would remain the case till the end of the season. How well they played!

In similar vein, not one of us thought Gussie would have such a quick effect by having Quins in their top 4 (though this position is also clearly under threat). In fact only Roger (5th) and Sully (6th) have them in the top half.

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
14 April, 2019 19:56
Round 19

After 4 weeks with JO'G at the summit, The Bard returns to knock him off his perch.

0.776	The Bard
0.734	JO'G
0.685	OhMaroItoje
0.678	Bath Hammer
0.671	vunipolae
0.671	Waldo
0.636	Sara'sman
0.615	Odds Checker
0.601	4everhopePhil
0.580	Our Average
0.566	Maroon Tyke
0.559	Barty II
0.538	BathMatt53
0.538	Duncan Keene
0.538	OverTheBorder
0.531	Roger G
0.503	robtheh
0.503	RobP74
0.497	Gryff
0.497	whyisitnevereasy
0.462	Squawker2
0.441	duchessmalfi
0.427	Sully08
0.406	AP
0.399	Darraghgirl
0.371	derbyshire fan
0.364	Tony Taff
0.357	maynas
0.357	Innings
0.273	tigerburnie

Average 0.526

 
Re: League Table Predictions
Sara'sman (IP Logged)
14 April, 2019 20:13
Our Top 4 picks make interesting reading - to me at least:

28 Exeter
28 Saracens
11 Gloucester
 0 Harlequins

27 wasps
 0 Northampton
 2 Bath
 0 Sale

 0 Bristol
14 Leicester
 0 Worcester
 2 Newcastle

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