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hasta (IP Logged)

Strength of Schedule
09 January, 2017 23:20
For, you know, ships and giggles, I've done a bit of analysis on the outstanding schedule of each remaining team. I've assigned values based on (current) position of opponent and applied a home/away factor based on home/away wins this season in the Prem. Results are below (lower score indicates easier schedule):

Exeter          56.5
Tigers          63.6
Bath            69.4
Sarries         74.4
Newcastle       76.7
Wasps           78.5
Worcester       87
Glaws           92.8
Bristol         93.2
Quins           94
Sale            96.8
Saints          97.2

A few thoughts:

1. It's going to be an absolute dog-fight between us, Tigers and Chiefs for the 3/4th spots.
2. Saints are artificially high at the moment, their schedule has been very favourable.
3. All is not lost for Wuss, despite recent form..
4. Sale are in genuine danger of being drawn further into the relegation scrap.

If I get the chance/am really bored I may update the model for form/6 Nations impact.

Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 09/01/2017 23:23 by hasta.

by (IP Logged)

Re: Strength of Schedule
09 January, 2017 23:42
Good work.

Bath Hammer
Bath Hammer (IP Logged)

Re: Strength of Schedule
10 January, 2017 00:04
The fact that Tigers & Chiefs both have slightly easier schedules than us isn't good news. Those last to defeats snatched from the jaws of victory could be our undoing & their gain.

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