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MESSAGES->author
The battle for Survival 2018
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 09:55
Well here we go, my usual barmy predictions for the clubs I feel will be in the bottom half of the Premiership and how they will do after the 1st 5 rounds of the Premiership.

I will update this after every round.

It's all a bit of fun but it is usually pretty close by then end of the season.

http://www.sixwaysrugby.co.uk/Images/2017-18/Stats/Survival2018.jpg


Our critical games are round 10 and 11 Irish and Sale at home. We are going to need max support.


(As usual I will do another one after 9 games)

Full Size Version

JP



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 07/10/2017 10:02 by Faithful_City.

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 11:06
Here is the picture produced if you forecast forward 22 game taking the form over the last 5 games.

http://www.sixwaysrugby.co.uk/Images/2017-18/Stats/Survival2018Forecast.jpg


This weekend could change that picture dramatically as the 1st round will drop off the form calculations removing the anomaly of that first round win by Irish.

JP

 
Timeshock!
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Timeshock! (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 12:05
Just as a cursory glance, in round 8 you have LI with a home win against Bath yet Bath with an away win at LI

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 12:14
Thanks for that will adjust, I feel home win still for Irish and LBP FOR Bath.

JP

 
Offa
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Offa (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 16:45
Gets a little tougher with each passing game.

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 16:56
We canít let games slip by in the hope that next time we will get a result, because luck will not strike 3 Times!

Thatís 6 games gone and we only have 1 point and 7 tries!

We only have 16 games to go, believe me that is not a lot. Every loss bring more and more pressure which creates more and more errors.

GG said last week they were already desperate, with not a single point from the game we are now BL00DY DESPERATE!!

JP

 
yellow450
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Yeller (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 17:09
Pro rata we will end up with 4 points

 
FlipFlop
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
FlipFlop (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 17:18
Each game that is genuinely winnable like today, heaps pressure on the LI games. However, Irish are scoring points and tries and getting gutsy LBPís.

We never do things clever or easy on, or off the pitch it seems. Club valuation down a bit more to interested suitors after today.

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 17:46
OK letís look at some numbers

Played.  Win.  Lost.  Draw. Tfor.  TAgainst.  For.  Against.  Diff
   6.     0.    6.     0.    7.       22.      63.     178.   -115

This the worst ever start to a season

It is now 8 games since our last win, we have only scored 12 tries and conceded 24, on average we have lost by 28pts per game.

However strongly your/our glasses are tinted these are bad numbers and do not seem to be 9mproving. We are back to.

DEFENCE DEFENCE DEFENCE


JP

 
Wensleydale Falcon
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Wensleydale Falcon (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 19:08
WOW. You predicting a top six finish for Falcons then Faithful City??

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
07 October, 2017 19:47
Yep and really pleased to be doing so a great club. Always had a great time up there and been very welll looked after.

Go for it!

JP

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
08 October, 2017 12:08
Well pretty much a disastrous weekend for us as every other club managed at least 1 point

http://www.sixwaysrugby.co.uk/Images/2017-18/Stats/Survival2018Forecast6.jpg



We have now play Six lost Six!

Guess what of all our 14 seasons in the prem we have lost our first 6 games 4 times!

2006-07
2007-08
2013-14
2017-18

We were relegated just once in 2014!! So all is not lost.

JP

 
FlipFlop
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
FlipFlop (IP Logged)
08 October, 2017 13:06
We donít start games well. We fonít Start halves of rugby well. We donít start seasons weíll. common failing

 
PcPete999
Re: The battle for Survival 2018
Ozzy3213 (IP Logged)
08 October, 2017 13:20
If it's any consolation we (Irish) don't seem to be starting too well either. I'm sure they said on BT Sport yesterday that our aggregate first half score this season is 18-112 or something similar!


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