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MESSAGES->author
Present Form: All Clubs
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 08:28
We have now played 8 games, how many league points have each club secured?

Taking all clubs form over the last 5 games, where would that project their season ending position and league points?

JP



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 27/11/2018 09:40 by Faithful_City.

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form All Clubs
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 08:57
Here is the bottom third by the end of the season based on their form over the last 5 games

http://www.sixwaysrugby.co.uk/Stats/2018-19/Images/BottomthirdR8.jpg

Falcons need to pick up their present form.

We will not be in the bottom third!!!!


JP

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form All Clubs
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 09:12
Will we be in the Middle Third if so where and how many points do you think we are heading towards if we maintain our present form?

JP

 
centrethere
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
centrethere (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 11:22
7th and 'quite a lot'?

 
Brummagem Bertie
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Brummagem Bertie (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 11:36
I think if we maintain our present form and clubs like Tigers and Quins theirs, there is a chance we could be top 6.



Whatever you do, do it safely!

 
dudleywarrior88
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
dudleywarrior88 (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 12:51
If you look at the first 8 games compared to last year in the same fixtures

2018/ 2017
Wasps (H) Lost/ Lost
Newcastle (H) Lost/ Won
Leicester (A) Won/ Won
Exeter (A) Lost/ Won
Bristol/ LI Won/Won
Bath (A) Lost/ Lost
Quins (H) Won/ Won
Sale (A) Lost/Lost

I make that 2 wins down on last year. So 11th it is again.....

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 13:22
On present for and points in the bag this is the Middle Third

http://www.sixwaysrugby.co.uk/Stats/2018-19/Images/MiddlethirdR8.jpg

And we are not in it!!!


JP

 
Simba
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Simba (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 13:43
Why is this not taken over premiership games so far (8) and not just the last 5 games?

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
TeflonTed (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 13:48
To believe that we’re headed for top 4 based on projections using the last 5 games is clearly statistically accurate, since JP knows how to drive a spreadsheet and a presentation.

Does anybody seriously think we’re headed for top 4?

Because I don’t.

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 14:36
Definitely not heading to top 4 but makes you feel good that if all clubs continued as they are at present the we could end up in the top 4!!!

Reason you take 5 games is to show present form over the most recent games, as form changes throughout the season. How we played in game 1 is very different to how we played in games 6,, 7, 8.

It is what pundits its show in their previews.

JP

 
Ronster
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Drahm for England (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 14:50
I have a sneaking suspicion that this season could well end up like the 04/05 season where any 1 of a number of clubs could be relegated on the last day. There really is very little to separate the bottom 7 or so at the moment.

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
TeflonTed (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 14:51
I suppose there are worse things to be doing on a day like today...........

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
27 November, 2018 14:54
Absolutely i could be wrapping christmas presents...

JP

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
28 November, 2018 09:07
Here are the actual numbers.

  Club       Form     End Points
Exeter        4.6        102
Saracens      4.6        102
Wasps         2.8         63
Warriors      2.8         56
Gloucester    2.2         54
Harlequins    2.2         50
Saints        2.4         50
Tigers        2.2         49
Sale          2.0         42
Bath          1.6         39
Bristol       1.8         38
Falcons       1.2         28

http://www.sixwaysrugby.co.uk/Stats/2018-19/Images/TopThirdR8.jpg

The Picture


Just look how close it is from 4th to 8th - a very tight season.

Ours could change dramatically id we lose on Saturday

Points    Form
  5        2.8
  4        2.6
  3        2.4
  2        2.2
  1        2.0
  0        1.8

JP

 
LeeSanWarrior
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
LeeSanWarrior (IP Logged)
28 November, 2018 09:22
A loss on Saturday is not the end of the world, as long as it is followed up with a win at home to Northampton before Chrsitmas. Looking at the other fixtures, that would probably see us going into January in a similar league position to now.

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
28 November, 2018 10:58
http://www.sixwaysrugby.co.uk/Stats/2018-19/Images/FormComp.jpg

Tracking Bottom 3 and Warriors


JP

 
kiddykid
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
kiddykid (IP Logged)
28 November, 2018 14:29
Faithful City......I admire your optimism but personally I would be happy having anything from 6th to 9th.

Incidentally, I describe myself as being an optimistic realist!

 
WarwickEastie
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
WarwickEastie (IP Logged)
28 November, 2018 16:31
I've been a supporter too long to get carried away with this current form milarky....
That said - we do seem to be distinctly less porous in defence at the moment, and when we do get it right in attack this season, we can finish like the best of them.

I don't really think we can do better than top half as:
1) There will be injuries along the way - and our squad doesn't have the depth of others
2) We are still poor away from home - aside the Welford Rd win, we've lost our prem away games including Sale.

I will put my neck out and say we won't be scrapping over relegation though....
(Sm159)

 
Inbox
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Inbox (IP Logged)
28 November, 2018 22:03
Likewise think the predictions are optimistic, brilliant if it happens but two losses we completely change the predictions. Optimistically we can finish 9th or higher...

 
MESSAGES->author
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
Faithful_City (IP Logged)
29 November, 2018 07:03
Guys, that’s why the title says Present and the text says if.

It is all about form and as we all know that can vary dramatically

It also shows that “if” their form continues Exeter and Sarries will win every game and average 4.8pts a game.

JP

 
w4rriorz1980
Re: Present Form: All Clubs
w4rriorz1980 (IP Logged)
29 November, 2018 08:19
Quote:
Faithful_City
Guys, that’s why the title says Present and the text says if.
It is all about form and as we all know that can vary dramatically

It also shows that “if” their form continues Exeter and Sarries will win every game and average 4.8pts a game.

JP
And they both feasibly could go through the season unbeaten as their games v each other can end in a draw.


Eats,Shoots And Leaves


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