and if Bristol win the Championship play-offs (I think they are the only club likely to get into the semis with a suitable ground
Quote:Let's do some probability theory - I suspect there's a flaw here somewhere:
Say there's a 5% chance of Newcs beating Sarries with a 4 try BP.
And a a 10% chance of Newcs beating Wasps with a 4 try BP.
And a 50% chance of Wasps beating Bath (with or without a 4 try BP)
And a 10% chance of Wasps losing against Newcs (but with enough BP's to equal us)
And a 50% chance of LI getting nothing against Wuss
And a 33% chance of LI getting nothing against Glos
So - 5%x10%x50%x10%x50%x33% =
99.9625 % chance that we won't be relegated...?
That's awfully positive for you isn't SS ?
Remember, one in a million chances happen 9 times out of 10...
Quote:I suppose a more positive note would be are we mathematically out of the running for HC qualification for next season ?
Do you know where in kent Mark?