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Statistic Based Predictions
DOK. (IP Logged)
01 January, 2018 10:44
http://www.rugbyvision.com/ claim to have a statistic based system for predicting the outcome of matches.

Thought this might be amusing. Here's predictions to date...

Team 1          Win % 1 Win % 2 Team 2          Predicted       Actual
                                                margin          margin
London Irish    16.2%   83.8%   Harlequins        -14             10
Harlequins      57.8%   42.2%   Gloucester          3             11
Wasps           74.4%   25.6%   Harlequins          9             -3
Harlequins      61.7%   38.3%   Leicester           4             -3
Northampton     55.8%   44.2%   Harlequins          2              8
Harlequins      65.9%   34.1%   Sale                5             16
Harlequins      79.4%   20.6%   Worcester          11              6
Exeter          83.6%   16.4%   Harlequins         13             14
Bath            73.1%   26.9%   Harlequins          8             24
Harlequins      20.3%   79.7%   Saracens          -11              1
Newcastle       60.6%   39.4%   Harlequins          4              1
Harlequins      61.8%   38.2%   Northampton         4             29
Sale            69.4%   30.6%   Harlequins          7

So Sale predicted to beat us with a 70% chance, and the margin to be 7 points

 
Re: Statistic Based Predictions
RodneyRegis (IP Logged)
01 January, 2018 11:01
With a 1.8% chance of top 4...

historical predictions are pretty decent all things considered.

 
Re: Statistic Based Predictions
Quinky Kin (IP Logged)
01 January, 2018 11:19
Quote:
RodneyRegis
With a 1.8% chance of top 4...
historical predictions are pretty decent all things considered.

Especially the London Irish, Wasps and Saracens games...

 
Re: Statistic Based Predictions
quin_jon (IP Logged)
01 January, 2018 11:24
If that worked then there'd be lots of poor bookmakers.

 
Re: Statistic Based Predictions
RodneyRegis (IP Logged)
01 January, 2018 15:13
Quote:
Quinky Kin
Quote:
RodneyRegis
With a 1.8% chance of top 4...
historical predictions are pretty decent all things considered.

Especially the London Irish, Wasps and Saracens games...

I'm talking about the full predictions for all AP games. It's a predictor, not a soothsayer.

 
Re: Statistic Based Predictions
Quinky Kin (IP Logged)
01 January, 2018 15:17
Quote:
RodneyRegis
Quote:
Quinky Kin
Quote:
RodneyRegis
With a 1.8% chance of top 4...
historical predictions are pretty decent all things considered.

Especially the London Irish, Wasps and Saracens games...

I'm talking about the full predictions for all AP games. It's a predictor, not a soothsayer.

My mistake... I thought that when you were responding to a post, you were referring to what was in that post... not something vastly expanded. But then I'm not a mindreader.


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