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If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Discussion started by Saint Swill , 19 January, 2018 00:45
If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Saint Swill 19 January, 2018 00:45
...and you fancy a punt this weekend, the bookies have Sarries at 50/1 on favourites to tonk us.

For the non-gamblers this means that for every chance we have of winning, Sarries have fifty. Or to put it another way, if you fancy Sarries' chances of a win, you'll need to put down £50 to win £1.

Sarries by 25 clear points, they reckon.

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
smitferbrainz 19 January, 2018 05:23
We've let ourselves down when we've played Sarries this season. I don't think we'll let ourselves down this weekend. I don't think we'll win, I don't think we'll get a losing bonus point either but I think we'll continue to see improvements. That's all I ask. Play with heart, effort. Continue to fix things that have begun to be fixed. Odds seem accurate to me. If it provides incentives to the team then great.

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
OldMarovian 19 January, 2018 06:57
Those odds are ridiculous. We will be missing a number of key players (as I am sure you will) but more importantly, you seem to have found your mojo. I expect us to win at home but don't think the score will be anything like the previous games.

It's all or nothing for us in the competition though so maybe that will inspire the team. No less than I guess Saints will be inspired to beat us though. All the bets for a good game.

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Saint Ted 19 January, 2018 07:21
Who are those odds on with Swill, I was looking yesterday and William Hill had Sarries at 1/33 and Saints at 10/1, which I thought was brilliant so whacked £10 on Saints

If someones offering 50/1 I'll throw down again!

(please gamble responsibly, when the fun stops, stop)

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Stevie Myler's right boot 19 January, 2018 07:46
I got 19-1 for Saints so had a crafty Ayrton on us. I really think we can cause another shock - no pressure on us, an expectation that Sarries will win (and all the pressure that if they don't they are out) - we have the best record at Allianz of any Prem team and an opportunity for payback after conceding over 100 points to them over 2 games

Saints by 5

COYS

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
herbie85 19 January, 2018 08:03
Only seeing 12/1 for saints. For me the decent value is almost evens for us with +25 handicap

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Toulousian Firefighter 19 January, 2018 09:11
I can only see 50/1 for the draw.

It would be nice to see the odds on Saints +10-15. We surely can't capitulate and concede so many tries from the off again can we? So hopefully, if we lose, it will be via Saracens building a lead with a few penalties. Either that or we do concede a few tries but do our usual second half winning performance.

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Saint Ted 19 January, 2018 09:16
odds checker best odds are currently 25/1 for a saints win and 100/1 for the draw

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Saint Ted 19 January, 2018 10:27
While we're on the subject, is it my imagination or didn't there used to be a betting shack/portacabin next to the Crooked Hooker?

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
manxsaint 19 January, 2018 11:07
Speaking as someone who worked in the betting industry for over 35 years, I can recognise false odds
when I see them! 25 to 1 in a two-horse race - even if your horse has been lame for a few months - is too
tempting to miss! I've had a Lady (Lady Godiva = fiver!) at 25s and £1 on the draw at 66 to 1. Should pay
for a beer or three on Saturday evening!

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
LeicesterSaint 19 January, 2018 11:50
Who is offering 25/1, I keep seeing 12/1 which seems worth a punt but I'd rather have the higher odds!

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
St tub 19 January, 2018 11:58
The portacabin was actually the kitchen..
Some serious kit in there too - smoker, green egg bbq etc..

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Saint Ted 19 January, 2018 12:13
Some site I've never heard of called BlackType Leicester, oddschecker have all the sites with the best prices, it's gone up to 28 now.

I know the one you mean Tub, but thats a different one to the one I was thinking of, I seem to remember it late 90s early 2000's was well before the SouthStand was built and definately whilst the Gordon Terrace was some gravel and a tin roof

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
fatrucker 19 January, 2018 12:16
Yeah I recall the FG bookie. Vividly remember wishing Paul Grayson would miss his last kick so I could collect my five point win bet.

And he missed the kick!

Perfect day. Saints win by five points and I walk off with £25!



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 19/01/2018 12:18 by fatrucker.

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
greenwood 19 January, 2018 12:59
Speaking as someone who worked in the betting industry for over 35 years, I can recognise false odds
when I see them! 25 to 1 in a two-horse race - even if your horse has been lame for a few months - is too
tempting to miss!

What do you make of...
CELTIC 1/250
DRAW 28/1
BRECHIN 150/1

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Saint Swill 19 January, 2018 15:38
My odds came from Bet365, who have shaded Sarries down to 40/1 on now.

That was probably my 50p punt that moved the market.

La Rochelle are 100/1 on to beat Quins, but the bookies think the closest game will be Montpellier at home to Leinster, with the French team favoured to win by a single point.

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Wilson Pickett 19 January, 2018 16:14
Don’t think they win but defo not more than 25 points imho

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Ow3n 19 January, 2018 16:33
Not a betting man, but seeing as I'm saving money on a semi-dry January then why not...

After a lot of frustration as odds shortened while I was creating an account I ended up putting a massive £7.50 on a win at 17?1 and a draw at 70/1 with betfair.

I'd prefer the win to the draw, even if the payout would be £400 more!

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
ajack 20 January, 2018 10:37
The margin is not important, Sarries only need 5 points (win plus a try bonus) they would not care what the winning margin is. They might well go for a very open game if they believe that gives them the best chance of four tries and a win.

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Saints065 20 January, 2018 15:57
There goes the bet then down the drain

Re: If You Think A Page Has Been Turned...
Ow3n 20 January, 2018 16:07
I guess that's why they call it a 'punt'.

Still worth it at those odds anyway.


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