Moorsman
Actual points v predicted (last 2 months)
Moorsman
By Moorsman April 28 2008
Time to come clean about my predictions against the actual outcome for the top five over the last two months! I managed to get the top 3 positions right but Pirates fell away to finish in fifth. The points were a different matter but I don't think I was too far away (apart from my optimistic prediction for the Chiefs). Better luck next year maybe?
Moorsman
Time to come clean about my predictions against the actual outcome for the top five over the last two months! I managed to get the top 3 positions right but Pirates fell away to finish in fifth. The points were a different matter but I don't think I was too far away (apart from my optimistic prediction for the Chiefs). Better luck next year maybe?
Prediction Outcome
Well it's time to come clean on the outcome of my predictions for the last 2 months. This is how I saw it 2 months ago.............
Prediction Time
I did this last year for the last 2 months and thought it might be interesting to try again this season. I've taken the top five sides and decided to brave it to see how well my crystal ball works? Not an easy job, particularly when trying to keep my 'bias' under check. Well it's time to come clean on the outcome of my predictions for the last 2 months. This is how I saw it 2 months ago.............
The top six sides at this stage last year were (final position in brackets) :-
Leeds Tykes (1)
Earth Titans (2)
Doncaster Knights (3)
Cornish Pirates (5)
Plymouth Albion (6)
Exeter Chiefs (4)
So not much change in the last 2 months apart from the Chiefs who only lost 1 game, away at Leeds. It seems a bit strange not to have Albion in the mix at this stage of the season.
Last year I predicted we would win each game - and the team delivered! I believe we can do this again but it will need some performance to defeat Saints at home.
Although it looks like Saints have secured a return to the GP, there's still a lot of pride at stake and a chance to start the build up for the 08/09 season.
Although it looks like Saints have secured a return to the GP, there's still a lot of pride at stake and a chance to start the build up for the 08/09 season.
| Date | 01/3 | 08/3 | 22/3 | 29/3 | 06/4 | 19/4 | 26/4 | Post | Total |
| Saints 105 | RT (5) | PB (5) | EC (1) | N (5) | C (5) | NB (5) | CAB (5) | CAB (5) | 141 |
| Chiefs 91 | PB (5) | CAB (5) | NS (4) | E (5) | Not (4) | Cov (5) | DK (5) | 0 | 124 |
| Notts 87 | CP (5) | NB (5) | CAB (5) | NS (1) | EC (1) | E (5) | C (5) | 0 | 114 |
| Pirates 81 | N (0) | SP (5) | DK (5) | RT (5) | PA (4) | M (5) | LW (4) | 0 | 109 |
Knights 79 | PA (5) | M (5) | CP (1) | B (1) | LW (4) | RT (4) | EC (0) | 0 | 99 |
Key: Teams show points total as at 01/03, Bold = home games and Red = top five side. Predicted points in brackets (x). Saints have a match to rearrange against CAB's.
B = Bedford, C = Coventry, CAB = Cornish All Blacks,
CP = Cornish Pirates, DK = Doncaster Knights, E = Esher,
EC = Exeter Chiefs, LW = London Welsh, M = Moseley,
N = Nottingham, NB = Newbury Blues, NS = Northampton Saints,
PA = Plymouth Albion, PB = Pertemps Bees,
RT = Rotherham Titans, SP = Sedgeley Park
As you can see Knights, Saints and Pirates have two whilst the Chiefs and Nottingham have three games gainst top five opposition.
No doubt many will disagree with my predictions, perhaps you'd like to post yours (final totals are OK if you don't want to do the full list)?
And this is how it worked out...
| Date | 01/3 | 08/3 | 22/3 | 29/3 | 06/4 | 19/4 | 26/4 | Post | Total |
| Saints 105 | RT (5) | PB (5) | EC (4) | N (4) | C (5) | NB (5) | CAB (5) | CAB (5) | 143 |
| Chiefs 91 | PB (5) | CAB (5) | NS (0) | E (5) | Not (0) | Cov (5) | DK (5) | 0 | 116 |
| Notts 87 | CP (4) | NB (5) | CAB (5) | NS (1) | EC (4) | E (5) | C (5) | 0 | 116 |
Knights 79 | PA (4) | M (5) | CP (1) | B (4) | LW (0) | RT (5) | EC (0) | 0 | 98 |
| Pirates 81 | N (1) | SP (5) | DK (5) | RT (0) | PA (2) | M (0) | LW (0) | 0 | 94 |
Saints within 2 points, Nottingham 2 and Donny 1 point. The Pirates were 15 points adrift of my prediction, losing ground at the end of this season as they did last season. Not too bad, allowing for my optimistic prediction for the Chiefs with the defeats against Saints and Nottingham making the difference. Sad to see Albion and Titans well adrift of the top six this season but no doubt they'll figure next season?
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