Thoughts from the Chron
6th May 2010
With a slim two point cushion over Saracens at the moment it is all in Saints hands and although the Watford club visit table topping Tigers that result is not the foregone conclusion it might have been a few weeks back given Sarries current form. Therefore the lads must travel south with nothing in their minds but victory to put any other scenario happening up at Welford Road purely academic.
The Exiles on the face of it do have something to play for themselves. In theory they can still make the playoffs themselves but in reality they would have to rely on both Wasps and Bath losing their respective games. Wasps may well be suffering a European hangover and struggle up at Newcastle but with everything still to play for you cannot see Bath failing at home to a now safe Leeds side.
As scores filter in from elsewhere during the afternoon - being the last weekend all six Premiership games kick off at the same time this week - there may be a few twists and turns yet but despite Mike Catt making his swansong for Irish on Saturday I am expecting us to have made full use of the two week break, righted a few wrongs on the training paddock, and have enough in the tank to come home with enough points secured to take on Sarries for a fourth and final time at the Gardens on the 16th of May when I think we will be a completely different proposition than we were on the last meeting.
And in my usual round of chicken counting should all the above come to pass then the semi final line up on the 16th will be Saints v Sarries and Tigers v Bath. Looking at those four sides you cannot really discount any of them. Tigers, consistent as ever, will be in most people's eyes the side to beat but Bath, who have timed their run in a manner seen by Wasps in recent years could be the dark horses coming up on the rails. In ‘doing a Wasps' on Wasps last week at Twickenham it looks like the West Country club are handling the final furlong to perfection as they emerged from the chasing pack in only the last few weeks.
The big question is though, are Bath good enough to win at Welford Road? Well if Sarries prevail up there this week it will give them hope of an upset, something that will not be lost on Leicester preparing for this weekends game but I can see Tigers doing what they have to do and grinding out wins in both these games just as I think we will in the return against Saracens. That will set up an East Midlands derby for the Championship at Twickenham on May 29th and for both clubs what better way to end the season than by putting one over your nearest neighbours. Exciting times ahead and we can put down a marker down at Reading on Saturday to show that we are still on track for the big prize. You may well remember the last time we played Irish on the last day of the regular season. That day we were relegated, let's hope for a happier scenario this time round and prove that Saints really have come full circle in a relatively short space of time and really
are contenders.
RELEGATION AND THE SALARY CAP
I see it is silly season once again with the people jumping to the conclusion that all the ills of the English game can be laid at the door of relegation and the salary cap. We seem to go through the ringfencing argument every year and again it's the same tired old argument that fear of the drop is stifling the game at both club and international level. The latest proposal being bandied about is a 14 team closed shop Guinness Premiership. Quite how they think this will improve things is beyond me and again I think it's a business decision over a sporting one. Certainly teams fighting for their lives will give you a much harder game than a handful of clubs who might not have much at all to play for post Xmas. If anything although someone will point out the tries scored number has gone up as the proof of their decision the actual standard will probably drop. What really makes me smile is the people who hold the Magners League up as a successful model,
no relegation, lots of open rugby and two Heineken semi finalists. Of course it is only an oversight that those people never look too deeply at the other two clubs, the two that actually made the final, the two French ones.
Of course one size cannot fit all but how can the French clubs be that successful playing in a league where not one but two clubs are relegated each and every season? How at an international level can the French team not only win the Grand Slam this year but absolutely take apart the likes of South Africa if relegation is the argument for stifling the game? Of course France does have a strong second tier the D2 and perhaps that is where the emphasis here should be in giving increased support to our second string clubs rather than a ringfenced Premiership. Better fresh strength coming from below and every dog having its sporting chance to win the day rather than a competition with so many dead rubbers it might as well be sponsored by Dunlop.
But then I just know the counter to this will be ‘but the French have a bigger salary cap'. Well that may be true - though it does not follow that that makes their national side successful - and I do think there is some truth in that argument but it is not quite the conclusive factor that some will lead you to believe. The French have always had more to spend than us, but I seem to remember not so long ago Bath, Saints, Tigers and Wasps rattling up Heineken win after win.
Try as we might it is never going to be a level playing field right across Europe. We are never going to compete financially with the money pits of Toulouse and Stade Francais as they stand but we can compete on the pitch as we have in the past despite the gulf in our relative finances as we have before. Yes perhaps the cap does need changing in England but let's not delude ourselves it is purely about cash, if it was Toulouse would bag the Heineken each and every year.
Simon Cohen at Leicester talked this week about the cap being a ‘lowest common denominator' and he is spot on. It seems to be set around affordability for all rather than a cloth cut to suit plan. In some respects affordability is a good starting point. With just two clubs making a profit last year it would suggest some are struggling as it is without an increase while others who have a large turnover are restricted on using any excess to improve their squad. Perhaps the whole thing should be turned on its head and instead of auditors trying to catch out wrongdoers they might be better employed ensuring that clubs are not putting themselves and all their employees in danger with sensible use of their finances. Or perhaps a standard cap topped up with a percentage of revenue as suggested by Jon Sleightholme in the Chron this week. We know that in Europe financially it is and never will be a level playing field, perhaps we should start to accept that
the same might be better long term for England too. And yes maybe that will create some ‘haves and some have nots' but then we've been the have nots in Europe for quite some while and we have not fared too badly, the same might equally be said of a domestic league.
QUOTE OF THE WEEK
Quote of the week from Saracens CEO Edward Griffiths. "Unless the Premiership clubs start working together and we stop this culture of making wild attacks on each other in the media we're not going to advance."
Any similarity with Edward Griffiths the Saracens CEO who was shouting from the rooftops that Saints were April Fools and trying to destroy the game is purely coincidental. Surely?
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