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So how's it all going to end, then?


By Whaley Shark
March 11 2012

I need to do something to keep the board ticking over, so I thought I’d have a go at predicting how the rest of the season’ll turn out.

I think we have a tough run-in, with title-chasing Saracens at home, then relegation-threatened Falcons away, in the next two rounds, and I think our opponents in both games have more at stake than we do, plus Falcons seem to be clawing their way slowly towards safety. So I think we’ll lose those.

Then I fancy us to win a mid-table scrap with Bath at EP, before we travel to Gloucester, who I expect to be trying to secure a playoff place, and finally we have Quins at EP, who’ll be looking to stay ahead of Saracens and finish top. So, slightly unusually for me, my glass is probably closer to half empty than half full. I fancy us to pick up two more wins and finish seventh, which is obviously a huge improvement on the last two seasons and I actually think would be a fair reflection of where we are.

Looking at the other matches, I think the playoff semis will be Quins against Saints and Saracens against Tigers. How things will go after that, I have no idea. At the bottom of the table, I think Falcons will not quite cross the gap to Wasps, and will end up in bottom spot, but only by a very narrow margin. With the lottery that the Championship playoffs have become, I have no idea if Falcons will actually go down, or whether they will be saved by the Championship winners not meeting some of the Premiership criteria.

Oh, and if I get any of this right, I’ll start putting Lottery numbers on the board for an encore!

Predicted Final Standings

 

Points now

Points gained

Total points

Final league position

Harlequins

58

22

80

1

Saracens

54

19

73

2

Northampton Saints

50

21

71

3

Leicester Tigers

47

15

62

=4*

Exeter Chiefs

45

7

52

6

Gloucester

41

21

62

=4*

Sale Sharks

40

8

48

7

London Irish

39

3

42

=9

Bath

36

6

42

8

Worcester Warriors

31

13

44

=9

London Wasps

27

1

28

=11**

Newcastle Falcons

19

9

28

=11**

*Tied on league points, Tigers take 4th place due to greater number of wins

**Tied on league points, tied on number of wins, but Falcons relegated on points difference

 

Predicted Results By Round

 

Round 18

League points

Sale Sharks  v Saracens                                 

1 - 4
Worcester Warriors  v  Newcastle Falcons

4 - 1

Harlequins  v  Bath Rugby

5 - 0

Gloucester Rugby  v  Exeter Chiefs

4 - 1

Northampton Saints  v  London Wasps

5 – 0

London Irish  v  Leicester Tigers

1 - 4

 

Round 19

League points

Leicester Tigers  v  Worcester Warriors

4 - 1

Newcastle Falcons  v  Sale Sharks

4 - 1

Exeter Chiefs  v  London Irish

4 - 0

Saracens  v  Harlequins

1 - 4

Bath Rugby  v  Northampton Saints

1 – 4

London Wasps  v  Gloucester Rugby

0 - 4

 

Round 20

League points

Sale Sharks  v  Bath Rugby

4 - 1

Northampton Saints  v  Leicester Tigers

4 - 1

Gloucester Rugby  v  Newcastle Falcons

5 - 0

London Irish  v  Saracens

0 - 4

Worcester Warriors  v  Exeter Chiefs

4 - 1

Harlequins  v  London Wasps

5 - 0

 

Round 21

League points

Newcastle Falcons  v  Saracens   

0 - 5

Bath Rugby  v  London Wasps

4 - 0

Gloucester Rugby  v  Sale Sharks

4 - 1

Worcester Warriors  v  London Irish 

4 - 1

Harlequins  v  Leicester Tigers

4 - 1

Exeter Chiefs  v  Northampton Saints

1 - 4

 

Round 22

League points

Leicester Tigers  v  Bath Rugby

5 - 0

London Irish  v  Gloucester Rugby

1 - 4

London Wasps  v  Newcastle Falcons

1 - 4

Northampton Saints  v  Worcester Warriors

4 - 0

Sale Sharks  v  Harlequins

1 – 4

Saracens  v  Exeter Chiefs

5 - 0

 

 

 

 

 

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