GP: Northampton Saints vs London Irish - Match Preview
By Richard Lindsley
December 29 2009
The first weekend of 2010 in the Guinness Premiership sees 1st play 4th (Sarries/Tigs) and 12th play 11th (Leeds/Bath). Both big games. However, all eyes will be on Franklin's Gardens this weekend as the 2nd and 3rd teams, the two most free-flowing sides of the GP, go head to head. Rich looks ahead at a mouth-watering prospect this Saturday at FG....
NORTHAMPTON SAINTS vs. LONDON IRISH
GP: Saturday, 2nd January 2010 –
3pm
FRANKLIN’S GARDENS
MATCH PREVIEW
This is surely the most eagerly
anticipated encounter at Franklin’s Gardens since the Munster match. Second
plays third. According to the media, the only two teams in the Guinness
premiership playing with style, flair and ambition. It’s last year’s GP runners
up against the European Challenge Cup Champions. Excited yet? Well I know I am!
There is much to admire about
London Irish and we can count ourselves lucky that two thirds of the (second,)
deadliest back three in our league are still injured. Just look at the match
up’s; Foden v Armitage, Downey & Clarke v Seveali'I & Mapusua, Hartley
v Paice, Kruger v Kennedy…still unexcited? Well ponder this; who will be the
fly halves? Will it be the Steady Eddie’s or the Flash Harry’s who get the nod
at 10, many will want to see Geraghty v Lamb but on recent form it’ll probably
be Myler v Malone.
London Irish are definitely one of
the teams in this league who can live with us for fitness. They’ll scrum hard,
their lineout is awesome, they’ll compete hard at the breakdown and those
monsters at centre will shut the midfield tighter than everyone’s belt after
Christmas dinner. Unlike many of our recent opponents they also very much know
their way to the try line. To top it all, they’ll be brimming with confidence
after a superb win against the previously unbeaten Saracens.
That’s enough about them though.
What about the Saints? 8 wins in a row. Yes, 8. Our current Guinness Premiership
record is played 11, won 8 lost 3. The three losses being the big match at
Wembley (we woz robbed,), at Adams Park and Welford Road. Hardly a nightmare is
it? Still a shadow of doubt seems to hang over this team, particularly here at
comeonyousaints.com. There’s a feeling that the Saints are getting the results
without putting in the performances. That they could easily have lost at home
to Bath or away to Treviso. Well yes that’s true, actually. However there’s
something different about this Saints team. Other teams don’t seem to put them
away and at some point during the match a purple patch erupts, usually
involving Foden and Ashton. Then the defeated opposition exit in a state of
confusion, wondering what just happened. To quote Tony Windo at half time on
Boxing Day:
“It’s for us to lose this one, if
we’re honest.” Oh dear.
Let’s look at the GP stats. Top
try scorer: Chris Ashton with 8. Most tries scored: Saints 24. Look at the rest
of the attacking stats. Saints are third at worst in any area. In offloads and
carries they are better than any other team but there is a worry, the team that
is often first to our second are London Irish.
Whilst we’re on stats, a direct
comparison of Saints and Irish at the lineout makes very interesting reading.
London Irish lead the ‘lineout’s won,’ table with the Saints languishing in 5th.
However the Saints have lost the fewest with 21. Within all the lies, damn lies
and statistics (especially as someone is bound to point out that Irish have
only lost 22,) expect the lineout to be the keenest of battlegrounds on
Saturday.
It’s traditional in a COYSDC
preview to have a stab at team prediction and my best guess would barring any
late injury updates be a repeat of both sides that start this weekend. So for
Saints:
I have no reason to think that
this season’s encounters will be any different. Home advantage and the rub of
the green will be key in what I hope will be a closely fought affair full of
blood and thunder. My heart says Saints and frankly my head does too.
So in the first match of 2010 we
say “Happy New Year,” to the players, management, support staff and supporters
of London Irish. Hopefully we’ll meet again at Twickenham in May.
A mouth watering encounter for sure. Really looking forward to Satdee and I think you are right that the centres and set pieces are going to be tight as both teams front up.
I agree 2nd and 3rd would completely rule it out. The threat from above is not so much of a worry to me as the Tigs lurking below and of course you can never trust Wasps. I think if Tigs turn the fezheads over then the wheels will start to come off their season
No alcohol for January. I'm a dryathlete in aid of cancer research.
Oh dear, you have really done your homework, no chance of complacency for the visitors to feed on. The Exiles have one advantage from their history, they like going in to a match as underdogs. This is a legacy from the past where we were everybody's second favourite team - a bunch of jolly Irish who knew how to enjoy a good craic but were not that much of a threat. Apart from beating some other green shirted club in the Powergen final so long ago hardly anyone remembers we did not cause many sleepless nights.
Then along came Brian Smith and took us to a Heineken Cup semi vs 2 loos (yes we was robbed too). No doubt other clubs were relieved when he disappeared to the England coaching team. Fortunately for the Exiles his understudy Toby Booth took this as the platform to launch from, not an act to follow.
Last season we made the GP playoffs by nilling local rivals Quins on their home turf. Many will say we were robbed in the final losing by a single point. The truth is we were knackered having stetched the smallest squad in the premiership beyond its limit. Tigers had one eye on the Heiny the following weekend otherwise we probably would not have run them as close as we did.
Since then we have made some good signings and lost some talented players. Jimmy Hudson will be an asset to the budgies, an excellent player but the harsh reality for him was that if Bob Casey and Nick Kennedy were available he did not get a start. Then of course there is Shane. There is a lot of history there. Nurtured through our academy, enfant terrible for England, then carrying him for pretty much the whole of last season through injury. The bad blood over his departure is certainly to do with a feeling that the club put in more than they got out, and that Saints would be the beneficiaries. He certainly put in more quality performances on the pitch for you this autumn than he did for us the whole of last season.
Has Mr G's saintly halo become tarnished already? There were some raised eyebrows at his omission from last week's starting lineup. When he did come on to chase the bonus point try he put in that daft chip. I think it was Toby who was asked if Lamb was better than Geraghty. The answer was along the lines of "he does what he's told."
'Nuf said. I am sure many would like to see Sicknote pitched against Asbo, but you are right on recent form I would put my money on Molly - Myler this weekend.
It is indeed a mouthwatering match. I shall be in the naughty corner where you put all your visitors, probably still trying to find a clock visible from the South West Corner. One of the best teams on the road versus one of the best teams at home, two vs three, could have been tied on points, both clubs about the only ones playing attractive rugby.
I've never seen London Irish win at FG but it is one of those things a club has to do if it is going to lift silverware. This Sat would be a good time to do it.
PS note to stewards, my crozier is not an offensive weapon but in deference to your sensibilities I shall be bringing the lightweight travelling version.
PPS note to drunken saints supporter I met last time, no, you still can't kiss my ring...
Good Write up Rich (This is RFB in a new incarnation BTW)
The Stats are interesting, and as you say they show up as very good for both sides. A few stats you don't mention are also very interesting. I am not saying they give any particular benefit to either side but they are intersting nonetheless.
1st point is that Irish kick more ball out of hand than any other team apart from Sarries. Now you could argue that this will just give Foden and Ashton loads of ball to run back at us, funny thing is, we also have the lowest points against in the league, so that certainly hasn't workrd out for other teams. - dunno, I just reckon we are not gonna see the free running game many are anticipating.
2nd and 3rd points.
The stats show that You have one of the highest numbers of rucks in a match, while we have one of the lowest. conversely you have one of the lowest numbers of scrums while we have one of the highest. Scrums normally happen as a result of mistakes, now another interesting stat is mistakes and Irish do indeed have a very high error count, we also force lots of errors from the opposition. Your high ruck count low error count and low scrum count show that you are very accurate in your play but dont force a lot of errors from the opposition.
What I am saying is that although You, and We are touted as the exciting teams in the prem this year, we set about our games in very diferent ways. Another important point is that IMHO Mallinder and Booth are among the best (Smartest) coaches around at the moment, they will always say that they are only concerned with what their own team does but you can guarantee that both will know absolutely everything about their oponents and will be putting game plans in place to nullify opposition strengths and exploit weaknesses.
Bottom line as far as I am concerned is that this one is just too tight to call. On their best day either team will beat anyone anywhere. I think on this day it will depend a lot on who wants it most
I totally agree with Old Pete good to see a preview with a positive approach to the game and opposition rather than the how many people can I offend type that seem to be the style of some posters.
Still as I never do previews I guess I shouldn’t knock those who do.
Mad Monk still trying to find a clock visible from the South West Corner.
Push your cowl back MM. Directly in font of you (NE) is the countdown clock at the east end of the Sturtridge!
\
Looking forward to a tight game (both sides playing against their normal styles!). Jumpers for sticking it up will be distributed pre match to Saints.
This game is to tight to call, our early mistakes againt the Sorries saw us trailing at half-time, we also were lucky with the first try!
But second half was like a totally different team, we bossed them and forced them into schoolboy mistakes, with Elvis scoring simply, we could & should have won by more!
Watching you several times, if Sicknote plays from the start then your in trouble I like the way he is used second half to your advantage of finishing of teams, but he fails to THINK or have the forsight on his actions...like the BP last weekend.
With out bias, my head says that Saints will win by a margin of four.....but if Sicknote again forgets his brain and starts my heart says we will win buy seven!
Mr Henley says:
"1st point is that Irish kick more ball out of hand than any other team apart from Sarries. Now you could argue that this will just give Foden and Ashton loads of ball to run back at us, funny thing is, we also have the lowest points against in the league, so that certainly hasn't workrd out for other teams."
Just been writing about this for tomorrows paper re your kicking stat, perhaps though you might be meeting the first team that runs it back again and again.
Top work young man. Was planning on comimg up for this one but family has had to come first. Absolutely gutted that I am going to miss this match. Can all Saintly types give the boys are big cheer for the full 80 minutes from those in the deepest darkest westcountry.
Good preview Mr Begatter of greatness. I too think Molly v Smyler with tin tin in second half. Looking forward to seeing Kruger v Kennedy too. Imaine a Saints supporter looking forward to lineout time! Qeulle change! Bring it on!
will be interesting to see how kennedy reacts if he gets a wollop in the chops from Daisy or Courtney, he's gone into his shell in the past, especially when doing 'nothing wrong' in a white shirt...
And to be fair i can not see Bestie missing this one...
Well yeah, I suppose that's a fair point of view except.
If you do try to run it back all the time that actually makes defending easier. When a team kicks the ball back you have to commit players to covering the back field and that dilutes the original kick chase, however if you know that the ball will always be run back you can blitz the kick chase perhaps isolating the runner behind his support - hey presto penalty for holding on in your own half or turnover with not too many defenders about.
I beleive this is why many coaches take the pragmatic view and tell their players to kick the ball out of ther own half.
Anyway - rest assured, Jim Mallinder and Toby Booth know a lot more about rugby than we do, and will both doubtless come up with appropriate gameplans.
Robby Richmond "A wollop in the chops from Daisey or Courtney" Sadly mate, in these days of TV cameras and citings, wollops in the chops have become a bit frowned upon. However should that happen, I am sure that Kendo will handle it appropriately
But then you might view the balance of blitzing that runner for three points over him getting through a couple of times for seven but like you say lets see what Messr's Booth n Mallinder make of it.
Bottom line really is that if you have great strike runners in your back three you should use them inteligently.
If they see a decent opportunity they should run, if not they should kick. That is probably what most teams do - I suppose the variable is what you class as a decent opportunity!
Maybe Mr Richmonds turn of phrase was wrong but the point remains that Kennady can be distracted by being a little more physical with him. This does not necessarily mean a smack in the chops maybe just doing stuff with a little more intent within the lawws of the game.
Also Twit is unseemly and not very constructive. The English language is very rich I am sure you will do better next time.
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